b4breeding

Buyers gave a very clear signal they are willing to pay for quality racing colts. When the stars aligned – nice type, proven sire, good performing family – the prices were much better and more consistent across the middle range than we have seen for years. The middle range appears (haven’t done the maths yet) to have beefed up especially in the $30-40,000 range, which is what was missing previously.

Some very high prices will capture the limelight, but a strong middle market is what caught my eye.

The downside is that fillies again were heavily discounted (although there were some notable exceptions, and I think the fillies average price will also come up quite a bit). But you know how sceptical I am about “averages” and what they tell us, so I will do my own analysis.

Newer sires were hardly present, and those that were had an uphill battle.  A beautiful very big filly by Big Jim (Lot 128) went for just $7000 – all she needs is time.

A Gotta Go Cullect colt out of a Bettor’s Delight mare (Lot 22) from a decent family went for $15,000 – the Bettor’s Delight damsire factor not helping enough to overcome the view of Gotta Go Cullect as a “cheapy” sire.

The Tintin In America filly (Lot 80) was passed in at $7000, but had a highish reserve on her and Leanne Edwards was quite keen to take her home and try her out. (Just an aside: The Tintin filly in the Brisbane sale went for $19,000).

Changeover had a colt and a filly in the sale – the colt sold for $20,000 and the filly passed in a $6000.

The Sportswriter colt (Lot 7) from a 2 win mare was sold for $20,000 – very hard to get a line on how he is being received until after the Christchurch sale.

Rock N Roll Heaven’s colt (Lot 50) went for just $22,000, and his filly (Lot 110) could hardly get a bid, although buyers know the Highfields Bloodstock team will have a high reserve on all their fillies, so may not bother bidding.

As always, breeders will do the hard yards and take the knocks until newer sires are more proven, but even in the case of a sire who is showing up well (like Changeover) it is clear that buyers and the Austalasian Classic Sale in Auckland are not interested in paying higher unless the sire proven and regarded as among the elite ones or a filly is from one of the top families.

There will always be exceptions, as my Real Desire colt showed last year when he sold so well. But they will be few and far between.

The sale has again, I guess, found its niche.

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On 25 January the Chertsey Trotting Club held their workouts. Race 6 was for 2yos and the field of four concluded the 1700 distance in 2-20.3, which is not an eye catching rate. None of the names will leap out from the page as “talked about future stars.”  They were very much learners, just there for the experience. But who knows what the future holds for these 4 young horses?

Chertsey in a small club near Ashburton. South Island, NZ (for my non-New Zealand readers). I’m using these low key workouts as an example, steering away from the high end of the market buyers/trainers who are also starting their 2yos at the moment.

Race 6 2YO MOBILE PACE.
Distance: 1700m
Plc      Horse                         Driver
1st       Miranda Cullen     T W Jellyman
2nd     Regal Gesture     D L Mitchell
3rd      Chal Storm           J C Fanning
4th      Goforjack              G T Ward

At this stage you must be thinking – “Why is Bee even talking about this workout?”

Two reasons. Both examples of the upside and downside of selling at the yearling sales.

The yearling sales divide breeders into winners and losers. Is this a good approach to developing a sustainable product for our industry?

1. All of these yearlings were sold at the 2014 Premier yearling sale in Christchurch – cheaply.

• The winner, filly Miranda Cullen (Gotta Go Cullen x La Rouge, breeder Davinia Harrison) was bought for just $2000 by the Jellymans. She made a mess of her first trial appearance on 7 January, breaking early in what proved to be a good and fairly quick qualifying race. At the 25 January workouts she put in a much better effort with less pressure on.
• Colt Regal Gesture (Shark Gesture x Gorgeous Guest, breeder N W Cranston) was bought at the yearling sales for $4500 by the Mitchells, and the current owners are listed as D L Mitchell, G R Smith. He likewise came last at his first official appearance late December, but much improved this time, and then not so good a week later. But he’s got some potential.
• Colt Chal Storm (Jereme’s Jet x Chal Roco, breeder R L Herbert) was a buy back at the yearling sales, not reaching his reserve just $10,000, and is still owned by R L Herbert. This was his first official outing.
• Colt Goforjack (Real Desire x Laurent Perrier, breeder Jack Smolenski) was another purchase by the Mitchells, this time for $14,000, and the current owners are listed as B A Small, D L Mitchell, Dr J C Fanning.  Although the sale price is a little higher, it is still incredibly cheap when you consider this colt (and he was a lovely looking type) is a half to Lancome, In Monaco, The Phantoms Guest, and Roanne (dam of Holy Grail).

I’m not saying these will turn out to be superstars or even multiple winners – although it wouldn’t surprise me! But it is no mean feat to get 2yos to the workouts and trials, and congratulations to the breeders, current owners and trainers for creating racehorses. This is a nice reminder just before the 2015 yearling sales, that there is plenty of opportunity to find a racehorse at the lower end of the market (PGG Wrightson Sale of the stars upcoming sales).

If you like a yearling, back yourself and check it out, even if no-one else seems to be very interested. Many a great horse has been an affordable buy at the sales!

2. But for sellers, bargains can be a disaster.

Going to the yearling sales involves a lot of costs for breeders. Your yearlings need to be of a certain standard and in most cases need to be paid up for the major series. You put a big effort into the dam and foal, and then the yearling (feeding, education). It’s all expertise and time and resources.

It involves a financial commitment from the breeder or vendor (often the same person) to present the best horse they can for the buyer at the time of the sale. This is the breeder’s opportunity to get an early return on that significant investment.

Estimates may range from $10,000 to $20,000 to cover costs and give some return depending on the service fee of the sire, the situation of the breeder (e.g. donates own resources and time, or has freehold land to graze and take feed from, or has to pay an external provider).

For many breeders, the sale price of a yearling at auction no where near makes a return on investment, and often will not even cover the basic costs of service fee and feed, let alone the human time and expertise, vet expenses and feed costs of raising a foal.

That’s why many breeders/vendors put a reserve on their yearlings and decide to carry the rest of the costs until they can make (with luck) a better return.

But many cannot afford to hold on to a yearling and take the loss. It is fundamentally a donation to the overall harness racing industry – by breeders.

So when people buy a low cost foal at the yearling sales, please remember: While buyers/owners also take a huge risk at yearling sale time, the foundations of success have already been created by the breeder. And whether the horse goes on to make $10,000 or a million dollars in stakes, the breeder will (with only tiny exceptions) get no percentage of that unless they have kept the yearling or taken an ownership share.

We work in a high risk business. Even so, it seems absurd that the producers of the product we market are left in such a situation – no business works this way.

Isn’t it time we took an industry-wide approach to this issue?

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