The New Zealand Jewels is only a few days away now and the fields and draws are out and being analysed. And some of the fields throw a few curve balls!
I suggest you keep track of the Harnesslink field-by-field analysis, which is a good overview of current form and a reasonable analysis of the chances.
Those of us who are interested in breeding know that the horses who make the finals of events like this (based mainly on seasons earnings in New Zealand) may not always reflect the dominance of sires overall. In the end, fields are made up of individual horses who are either “consistent as” or “brilliant” – and both sorts have to be tough to get to this end of the season and front up yet again.
So check out the fields and the view of Harnesslink NZ which is quite a short summary but good one,and they also show the basic breeding of each horse which is welcome information.
There are some intersting observations to make.
The 4yo Emerald for example. Who would have ever thought that dear old Grinfromeartoear would end up with three representatives in a Jewels final? Mr Franklin, Provocative Prince and Milligan. What have they got in common apart from ending up in this field? (1) awful draws, (2) consistent form, (3) willingness (4) durability. And a bunch of delightful owners I would think. OK they may not make it into the winners circle but don’t write them off – their horse’s breeding is indicating something that many breeders are not paying attention to – that “slow cooking” is often the sweetest meat. These are horses that, by the very fact they are in the Jewels, show they can earn their keep for their owners and give them a run for their money at the top end. I love that.
Another highlight of that field is the number of In The Pocket broodmares, and the cross of those mares with Art Major in particular. Four of the top pick horses in that field are by Art Major out of an In The Pocket or Christian Cullen mare. What an amazing job In The Pocket continues to do here in New Zealand. With the Direct Scooter line having such a resurgence in North America, it is good timing and a relief for the breeding world that we nurtured another Direct Scooter line down under.
In terms of the fillies and mares races at the Jewels, again it is interesting to see the VARIETY of sires and damsires that are producing fillies (and in the longer term mares) who can accumulate wins and earnings to get into the Jewels. Girls are not that obvious – so the mix of sires and broodmare sires and families is a lot more complex.
On the day, what happens…happens. But I like variety and although I hope the best horse wins, I also hope there are some surprises that bring unexpected joy to owners and breeders.